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美国就业市场仍面临压力:报告显示2月失业率升至4.4%

2 月份,雇主削减了 92,000 个工作岗位。 上个月美国雇主意外裁员 92,000 人,这表明劳动力市场仍然低迷

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Mewayz Team

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商业格局持续快速发展,保持竞争力需要意识和正确的运营基础设施。本文探讨了美国就业市场仍然面临压力:报告显示 2 月份失业率升至 4.4%,以及这对 2025 年个体经营者、小团队和成长型企业意味着什么。

2 月份,雇主削减了 92,000 个工作岗位。

上个月美国雇主意外裁员 92,000 人,这表明劳动力市场仍然面临压力。失业率飙升至 4.4%。美国劳工部周五报告称,招聘情况自 1 月份以来恶化,当时公司、非营利组织和政府机构新增了 126,000 个就业岗位。经济学家此前预计 2 月份新增就业岗位 60,000 个。此次修订还从 12 月份和 1 月份的就业人数中削减了 69,000 个就业岗位。预计就业市场今年将从 2025 年的低迷中反弹,当时经济受到唐纳德·特朗普总统不稳定的关税政策和高利率挥之不去的影响,每月仅创造 15,000 个就业岗位。建筑公司裁员 11,000 个上个月的就业情况可能反映了寒冷的天气。加利福尼亚州和夏威夷州的 Kaiser Permanente 的 30,000 多名护士和其他一线员工举行了为期 4 周的罢工,医疗保健公司裁员 28,000 人。就业市场和整个经济的前景因与伊朗的战争而蒙上阴影。去年,由于唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税政策存在不确定性,而且他实施关税的方式难以预测,雇主们不愿招聘员工。高利率是美联储为了应对经济危机而设计的。 COVID-19大流行后爆发的通货膨胀也给2025年的就业市场带来压力。特朗普激进的贸易政策的影响可能会在2025年消退。去年与中国达成贸易休战并与日本和欧盟等美国主要贸易伙伴打交道后,他的进口税变得更小、更不稳定。许多企业还学会了如何抵消关税成本,通常是通过更高的价格将其转嫁给客户。企业需要“一年的时间将其中一些成本纳入其商业模式,现在是时候回到增长模式了”。总部位于亚特兰大的 Goodwin Recruiting 首席执行官安迪·德克尔 (Andy Decker) 表示。最高法院还废除了特朗普最大、最大胆的关税,尽管他正在用新关税取而代之。尽管如此,招聘仍远远落后于 2021-2023 年的招聘热潮,当时经济正从大流行封锁中恢复,美国每月新增近 40 万个就业岗位。许多经济学家将当今的就业市场描述为“不雇用,不解雇”:公司不愿意增加工人,但又不想放弃现有的工人。幸运的是,现在实现足够好的就业增长更容易。直到一两年前,雇主每月需要雇用超过 10 万人才能阻止失业率上升。但是宝贝婴儿潮一代的退休和唐纳德·特朗普总统的驱逐意味着竞争工作的人越来越少。税务和咨询公司 RSM 的首席经济学家乔·布鲁苏拉斯 (Joe Brusuelas) 表示,因此,盈亏平衡点要低得多——每月提供 0 到 50,000 个工作岗位。 “按照现在的条件,七万应该算稳了,”他说。公司可能会推迟招聘,因为他们购买、安装和弄清楚如何最好地使用新技术,包括人工智能。毕竟,人工智能可能意味着他们可以“用更少的钱做更多的事”。布鲁苏拉斯说,将需要更少的工人,特别是初级职位。他说,他们在想,“我们在(资本支出)上投入了大量资金,我们需要看看我们现有的劳动力可以生产多少……你最不想做的就是雇用很多年轻人

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Looking Ahead

The businesses that consolidate onto unified, modular platforms over the next 12-24 months will have a structural cost and speed advantage over those still running fragmented tool stacks. The technology exists, pricing has democratised, and migration paths are clearer than ever.

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